{"id":1565,"date":"2026-06-30T11:50:39","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T06:20:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/?p=1565"},"modified":"2026-06-30T11:50:40","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T06:20:40","slug":"monsoon-2026-june-30-vidarbha-cloud-intensity-mumbai-103mm-rain-sowing-window-open","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/2026\/06\/30\/monsoon-2026-june-30-vidarbha-cloud-intensity-mumbai-103mm-rain-sowing-window-open\/","title":{"rendered":"\u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928 \u0968\u0966\u0968\u096c | \u0969\u0966 \u091c\u0942\u0928 \u2014 \u091c\u0942\u0928\u091a\u093e \u0936\u0947\u0935\u091f\u091a\u093e \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938: \u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d\u093e\u0935\u0930 \u0922\u0917\u093e\u0902\u091a\u0940 \u0924\u0940\u0935\u094d\u0930\u0924\u093e \u0938\u0930\u094d\u0935\u094b\u091a\u094d\u091a, \u092e\u0941\u0902\u092c\u0908\u0924 \u090f\u0915\u093e \u0930\u093e\u0924\u094d\u0930\u0940\u0924 \u0967\u0966\u0969 \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940, \u092a\u0947\u0930\u0923\u0940\u091a\u0940 \u0916\u093f\u0921\u0915\u0940 \u0909\u0918\u0921\u0932\u0940"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0935\u093f\u091c\u092f \u0917\u093e\u092f\u0915\u0935\u093e\u0921 | \u0915\u0943\u0937\u0940 \u092a\u0930\u094d\u0935<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0906\u091c \u0969\u0966 \u091c\u0942\u0928 \u2014 \u091c\u0942\u0928 \u092e\u0939\u093f\u0928\u094d\u092f\u093e\u091a\u093e \u0936\u0947\u0935\u091f\u091a\u093e \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938. \u092f\u093e \u092e\u0939\u093f\u0928\u094d\u092f\u093e\u091a\u093e \u0939\u093f\u0936\u094b\u092c \u092d\u092f\u093e\u0935\u0939 \u0906\u0939\u0947 \u2014 \u0926\u0947\u0936\u093e\u091a\u0940 \u0939\u0902\u0917\u093e\u092e\u0940 \u0924\u0942\u091f \u096a\u0968%, \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f \u092d\u093e\u0930\u0924\u093e\u091a\u0940 \u096b\u096f%, \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930\u093e\u091a\u0940 \u096c\u096e%, \u092e\u0930\u093e\u0920\u0935\u093e\u0921\u094d\u092f\u093e\u091a\u0940 \u096c\u096a%. \u092a\u0923 \u091c\u0942\u0928\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0936\u0947\u0935\u091f\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u091a\u093e\u0930 \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938\u093e\u0902\u0924 satellite data \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u0947 \u090f\u0915 \u092e\u0939\u0924\u094d\u0924\u094d\u0935\u093e\u091a\u093e \u092c\u0926\u0932 \u0926\u093f\u0938\u0924\u094b\u092f \u2014 \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928 \u092c\u0933\u0915\u091f \u0939\u094b\u0924\u094b\u092f. \u092e\u0941\u0902\u092c\u0908\u0924 \u0915\u093e\u0932 \u0930\u093e\u0924\u094d\u0930\u0940 \u090f\u0915\u093e \u0930\u093e\u0924\u094d\u0930\u0940\u0924 \u0967\u0966\u0969 \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940 \u092a\u093e\u090a\u0938 \u092a\u0921\u0932\u093e \u2014 \u096d\u096b \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940 threshold \u092a\u093e\u0930. \u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d\u093e\u0935\u0930\u0940\u0932 \u0922\u0917\u093e\u0902\u091a\u0940 \u0924\u0940\u0935\u094d\u0930\u0924\u093e &#8220;intense to very intense&#8221; \u2014 \u0938\u0930\u094d\u0935\u094b\u091a\u094d\u091a \u0936\u094d\u0930\u0947\u0923\u0940\u0924 \u092a\u094b\u0939\u094b\u091a\u0932\u0940. IMD \u0928\u0947 \u0968\u0969 \u091c\u093f\u0932\u094d\u0939\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0902\u0924 Yellow \u0906\u0923\u093f \u096b \u091c\u093f\u0932\u094d\u0939\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0902\u0924 Orange Alert \u091c\u093e\u0930\u0940 \u0915\u0947\u0932\u093e. \u0924\u0940\u0928 \u0938\u094d\u0935\u0924\u0902\u0924\u094d\u0930 \u0938\u094d\u0930\u094b\u0924 \u2014 satellite, IMD \u0906\u0923\u093f \u091c\u093e\u092f\u092d\u093e\u092f\u0947 \u2014 \u090f\u0915\u091a \u0938\u093e\u0902\u0917\u0924\u093e\u092f\u0924: \u0968 \u0924\u0947 \u0967\u0966 \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948 = \u092a\u0947\u0930\u0923\u0940\u091a\u0940 \u0916\u093f\u0921\u0915\u0940.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"983\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_ctbt-1-983x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1568\" srcset=\"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_ctbt-1-983x1024.jpg 983w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_ctbt-1-288x300.jpg 288w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_ctbt-1-768x800.jpg 768w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_ctbt-1.jpg 1260w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 983px) 100vw, 983px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u0915\u093e\u0932 \u0930\u093e\u0924\u094d\u0930 \u2014 \u092e\u0941\u0902\u092c\u0908\u0924 \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928\u091a\u0940 \u092a\u0939\u093f\u0932\u0940 \u0916\u0930\u0940 \u0938\u0932\u093e\u092e\u0940<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0930\u0935\u093f\u0935\u093e\u0930\u0940 \u0930\u093e\u0924\u094d\u0930\u0940 \u092e\u0941\u0902\u092c\u0908\u0924\u0940\u0932 \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928 \u0938\u0915\u094d\u0930\u093f\u092f \u091d\u093e\u0932\u093e \u2014 \u0906\u0923\u093f \u0938\u094b\u092e\u0935\u093e\u0930\u0940 \u0938\u0915\u093e\u0933\u092a\u0930\u094d\u092f\u0902\u0924 \u0938\u093e\u0902\u0924\u093e\u0915\u094d\u0930\u0942\u091d\u0932\u093e \u0967\u0966\u0969.\u0967 \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940 \u092a\u093e\u090a\u0938 \u0928\u094b\u0902\u0926\u0935\u0932\u093e \u0917\u0947\u0932\u093e. \u090f\u0915\u093e \u0930\u093e\u0924\u094d\u0930\u0940\u0924. \u0915\u0941\u0932\u093e\u092c\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0932\u093e \u0969\u0966.\u096a \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940. \u092a\u0923 \u0909\u092a\u0928\u0917\u0930\u093e\u0902\u092e\u0927\u0940\u0932 \u091a\u093f\u0924\u094d\u0930 \u0935\u0947\u0917\u0933\u0947 \u2014 \u092e\u0941\u0932\u0941\u0902\u0921\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0928\u0917\u0930\u092a\u093e\u0932\u093f\u0915\u093e \u0936\u093e\u0933\u0947\u0924 \u0968\u0967\u0966 \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940, \u0917\u0935\u093e\u0928\u092a\u093e\u0921\u093e \u0905\u0917\u094d\u0928\u093f\u0936\u092e\u0928 \u0915\u0947\u0902\u0926\u094d\u0930 \u0967\u096c\u096d \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940, \u0935\u0930\u094d\u0938\u094b\u0935\u093e \u0967\u096c\u096d \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940, \u0917\u094b\u0930\u0947\u0917\u093e\u0935 \u0967\u0968\u096f \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0939\u093e \u0906\u0915\u0921\u093e \u0936\u0947\u0924\u0915\u0931\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0902\u0938\u093e\u0920\u0940 \u092e\u0939\u0924\u094d\u0924\u094d\u0935\u093e\u091a\u093e \u2014 \u096d\u096b \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940+ \u0938\u0932\u0917 \u092a\u093e\u090a\u0938 \u092e\u094d\u0939\u0923\u091c\u0947 \u092a\u0947\u0930\u0923\u0940\u0932\u093e\u092f\u0915 \u0913\u0932. \u092e\u0941\u0902\u092c\u0908\u0924 \u0924\u094b \u0906\u0915\u0921\u093e \u090f\u0915\u093e \u0930\u093e\u0924\u094d\u0930\u0940\u0924 \u092a\u093e\u0930 \u091d\u093e\u0932\u093e. \u0915\u094b\u0915\u0923\u093e\u0924 \u092a\u0947\u0930\u0923\u0940\u091a\u0940 \u092a\u0930\u093f\u0938\u094d\u0925\u093f\u0924\u0940 \u0906\u0924\u093e \u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0923\u092a\u0923\u0947 \u0905\u0928\u0941\u0915\u0942\u0932. \u092d\u093e\u0924 \u0930\u094b\u092a\u0935\u093e\u091f\u093f\u0915\u093e \u0938\u0941\u0930\u0942 \u0915\u0930\u0924\u093e \u092f\u0947\u0924\u093e\u0924.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Satellite Bulletin \u2014 \u091a\u093e\u0930 \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938\u093e\u0902\u0924 \u0924\u0940\u0928 upgrade<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">IMD \u0928\u0947 \u0906\u091c \u0938\u0915\u093e\u0933\u0940 (\u0969\u0966 \u091c\u0942\u0928, \u0966\u0969:\u0966\u0966 UTC \/ \u0966\u096e:\u0969\u0966 IST) INSAT-3DS satellite bulletin \u091c\u093e\u0930\u0940 \u0915\u0947\u0932\u093e. \u092f\u093e\u0924\u0940\u0932 \u0938\u0930\u094d\u0935\u093e\u0924 \u092e\u094b\u0920\u0940 \u092c\u093e\u0924\u092e\u0940 \u2014 convection \u0924\u0940\u0935\u094d\u0930\u0924\u0947\u091a\u093e \u091a\u093e\u0930 \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938\u093e\u0902\u091a\u093e \u091f\u094d\u0930\u0947\u0902\u0921.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"914\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_ir1-2-914x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1569\" srcset=\"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_ir1-2-914x1024.jpg 914w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_ir1-2-268x300.jpg 268w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_ir1-2-768x860.jpg 768w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_ir1-2-1372x1536.jpg 1372w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_ir1-2-1829x2048.jpg 1829w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_ir1-2.jpg 2002w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 914px) 100vw, 914px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0968\u096c \u091c\u0942\u0928\u0932\u093e IMD \u0928\u0947 \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930\u093e\u0938\u093e\u0920\u0940 &#8220;weak to moderate convection&#8221; \u0928\u094b\u0902\u0926\u0935\u0932\u0947 \u2014 \u0922\u0917 \u092a\u093e\u0924\u0933, \u0939\u0932\u0915\u0947, \u092a\u093e\u0935\u0938\u093e\u091a\u0940 \u0915\u094d\u0937\u092e\u0924\u093e \u092e\u0930\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0926\u093f\u0924. \u0968\u096f \u091c\u0942\u0928\u0932\u093e \u0924\u0947 &#8220;moderate to intense&#8221; \u0932\u093e upgrade \u091d\u093e\u0932\u0947 \u2014 Cloud Top Temperature \u0909\u0923\u0947 \u096a\u0966 \u0924\u0947 \u0909\u0923\u0947 \u096d\u0966\u00b0C \u2014 \u0922\u0917 \u091c\u0921, \u0909\u0902\u091a, \u092a\u0947\u0930\u0923\u0940\u0932\u093e\u092f\u0915 \u092a\u093e\u090a\u0938 \u0926\u0947\u0923\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0938 \u0938\u0915\u094d\u0937\u092e. \u0906\u091c \u0969\u0966 \u091c\u0942\u0928\u0932\u093e \u2014 \u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d \u0906\u0923\u093f \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0926\u0947\u0936 &#8220;intense to very intense convection&#8221; \u2014 \u0938\u0930\u094d\u0935\u094b\u091a\u094d\u091a \u0936\u094d\u0930\u0947\u0923\u0940 \u2014 CTT \u0909\u0923\u0947 \u096d\u0966 \u0924\u0947 \u096f\u0966\u00b0C \u2014 \u0922\u0917 tropopause \u092a\u0930\u094d\u092f\u0902\u0924 \u0909\u0902\u091a, \u0905\u0924\u094d\u092f\u0902\u0924 \u092a\u093e\u0923\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0928\u0947 \u092d\u0930\u0932\u0947\u0932\u0947. \u091a\u093e\u0930 \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938\u093e\u0902\u0924 \u0924\u0940\u0928 upgrade \u2014 weak \u2192 moderate \u2192 intense \u2192 very intense. \u0939\u0940 progression \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928 \u092c\u0933\u0915\u091f \u0939\u094b\u0924 \u0905\u0938\u0932\u094d\u092f\u093e\u091a\u0947 \u0938\u094d\u092a\u0937\u094d\u091f \u0938\u0902\u0915\u0947\u0924.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d &#8220;intense to very intense&#8221; \u2014 \u0939\u093e \u0915\u093e\u092a\u0942\u0938 \u0936\u0947\u0924\u0915\u0931\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0902\u0938\u093e\u0920\u0940 \u0938\u0930\u094d\u0935\u093e\u0924 \u092e\u0939\u0924\u094d\u0924\u094d\u0935\u093e\u091a\u093e \u092c\u0926\u0932. \u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d \u0906\u0924\u093e \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0926\u0947\u0936, \u092c\u093f\u0939\u093e\u0930, \u091b\u0924\u094d\u0924\u0940\u0938\u0917\u0921, \u0913\u0921\u093f\u0936\u093e \u092f\u093e\u0902\u0938\u094b\u092c\u0924 \u0938\u0930\u094d\u0935\u094b\u091a\u094d\u091a convection \u0936\u094d\u0930\u0947\u0923\u0940\u0924. \u0905\u0936\u093e \u0922\u0917\u093e\u0902\u092e\u0927\u0942\u0928 \u092e\u0941\u0938\u0933\u0927\u093e\u0930 \u0924\u0947 \u0905\u0924\u093f \u092e\u0941\u0938\u0933\u0927\u093e\u0930 \u092a\u093e\u090a\u0938 \u092a\u0921\u0924\u094b. \u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d\u093e\u0924 \u0906\u091c-\u0909\u0926\u094d\u092f\u093e \u096d\u096b \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940+ \u0938\u0932\u0917 \u092a\u0921\u0923\u094d\u092f\u093e\u091a\u0940 \u0936\u0915\u094d\u092f\u0924\u093e \u0935\u093e\u0922\u0932\u0940 \u2014 \u0915\u093e\u092a\u0942\u0938 \u092a\u0947\u0930\u0923\u0940\u0938\u093e\u0920\u0940 \u0905\u0928\u0941\u0915\u0942\u0932.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u092a\u0923 \u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d\u093e\u0924\u0939\u0940 El Ni\u00f1o \u091a\u0947 &#8220;\u091a\u093e\u0930 \u0917\u093e\u0935\u093e\u0902\u0924 \u0916\u0942\u092a \u2014 \u092c\u093e\u0915\u0940 \u0915\u094b\u0930\u0921\u0947&#8221; pattern \u0915\u093e\u092f\u092e. IMD \u0928\u0947 \u0938\u093e\u0902\u0917\u093f\u0924\u0932\u0947 \u2014 \u0905\u0915\u094b\u0932\u093e, \u092c\u0941\u0932\u0922\u093e\u0923\u093e, \u0935\u093e\u0936\u093f\u092e \u2014 &#8220;dry weather expected.&#8221; \u092a\u0923 \u0928\u093e\u0917\u092a\u0942\u0930, \u0917\u0921\u091a\u093f\u0930\u094b\u0932\u0940, \u091a\u0902\u0926\u094d\u0930\u092a\u0942\u0930, \u092f\u0935\u0924\u092e\u093e\u0933, \u0905\u092e\u0930\u093e\u0935\u0924\u0940 \u2014 thundershowers and gusty winds. \u092e\u094d\u0939\u0923\u091c\u0947 \u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0935 \u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d \u0938\u0915\u094d\u0930\u093f\u092f, \u092a\u0936\u094d\u091a\u093f\u092e \u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d \u0905\u091c\u0942\u0928 \u0915\u094b\u0930\u0921\u093e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0909\u0930\u094d\u0935\u0930\u093f\u0924 \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930 (REST MAHA) \u0906\u0923\u093f \u0917\u094b\u0935\u093e, \u0926\u0915\u094d\u0937\u093f\u0923 \u0917\u0941\u091c\u0930\u093e\u0924 \u2014 &#8220;moderate to intense convection&#8221; \u0915\u093e\u092f\u092e. \u0915\u094b\u0915\u0923\u093e\u0924 \u092a\u0941\u0930\u0947\u0938\u0947 \u2014 \u091c\u094b\u0930\u0926\u093e\u0930 \u0924\u0947 \u092e\u0941\u0938\u0933\u0927\u093e\u0930. \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930\u093e\u0924 moderate to intense = \u096d\u096b \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940+ \u0936\u0915\u094d\u092f \u2014 \u092a\u0923 \u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d\u093e\u0938\u093e\u0930\u0916\u0947 guaranteed \u0928\u093e\u0939\u0940.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0905\u0930\u092c\u0940 \u0938\u092e\u0941\u0926\u094d\u0930\u093e\u0935\u0930 \u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0935-\u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f \u0906\u0923\u093f \u0926\u0915\u094d\u0937\u093f\u0923-\u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0935 \u092d\u093e\u0917\u093e\u0924, \u0932\u0915\u094d\u0937\u0926\u094d\u0935\u0940\u092a, \u092e\u093e\u0932\u0926\u0940\u0935 \u2014 &#8220;intense to very intense.&#8221; Moisture conveyor belt \u0905\u0924\u094d\u092f\u0902\u0924 \u0938\u0915\u094d\u0930\u093f\u092f. \u0916\u0902\u092c\u093e\u0924\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0906\u0916\u093e\u0924\u093e\u0924 &#8220;moderate to intense&#8221; \u2014 \u0926\u0915\u094d\u0937\u093f\u0923 \u0917\u0941\u091c\u0930\u093e\u0924\u0915\u0921\u0947 moisture \u0935\u093e\u0939\u0924\u094b\u092f.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u092c\u0902\u0917\u093e\u0932\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0909\u092a\u0938\u093e\u0917\u0930\u093e\u0924 \u2014 &#8220;intense to very intense convection over NORTH adjacent CENTRAL BAY, SE BAY, ANDAMAN SEA.&#8221; \u0909\u0924\u094d\u0924\u0930 \u092c\u0902\u0917\u093e\u0932\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0909\u092a\u0938\u093e\u0917\u0930\u093e\u0924 \u0924\u0940\u0935\u094d\u0930 convection \u2014 low-pressure area \u0924\u092f\u093e\u0930 \u0939\u094b\u0923\u094d\u092f\u093e\u091a\u0947 \u0938\u0902\u0915\u0947\u0924 \u092c\u0933\u0915\u091f. Hindu Business Line \u091a\u0947 Vinson Kurian \u092f\u093e\u0902\u0928\u0940 \u0938\u093e\u0902\u0917\u093f\u0924\u0932\u0947 \u2014 IMD numerical weather model \u0926\u093e\u0916\u0935\u0924\u093e\u0924 \u0913\u0921\u093f\u0936\u093e-\u0906\u0902\u0927\u094d\u0930 \u0915\u093f\u0928\u093e\u0930\u092a\u091f\u094d\u091f\u0940\u091c\u0935\u0933 low-pressure area \u0924\u092f\u093e\u0930 \u0939\u094b\u090a\u0928 \u0924\u0947\u0932\u0902\u0917\u0923\u093e-\u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930\u093e\u0915\u0921\u0947 \u096b \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948\u092a\u0930\u094d\u092f\u0902\u0924 \u0938\u0930\u0915\u0947\u0932 \u2014 rain belt \u0938\u094b\u092c\u0924 \u0913\u0922\u0947\u0932.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Water Vapour Wind \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0924\u093f\u092e\u0947\u0924 (INSAT-3DS, \u0966\u0969:\u0966\u0966 UTC) \u0905\u0930\u092c\u0940 \u0938\u092e\u0941\u0926\u094d\u0930\u093e\u0935\u0930\u0942\u0928 \u092d\u093e\u0930\u0924\u093e\u0915\u0921\u0947 westerlies \u092c\u0933\u0915\u091f. Somali Jet \u0938\u0915\u094d\u0930\u093f\u092f \u2014 cross-equatorial flow Full Disk Thermal IR \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u0947 \u0938\u094d\u092a\u0937\u094d\u091f \u0926\u093f\u0938\u0924\u094b. Western Disturbance \u0915\u093e\u0939\u0940\u0938\u093e \u092a\u0930\u0924 \u0906\u0932\u093e \u2014 \u0932\u0921\u093e\u0916, J&amp;K, \u0939\u093f\u092e\u093e\u091a\u0932, \u0909\u0924\u094d\u0924\u0930\u093e\u0916\u0902\u0921\u0935\u0930 \u2014 \u092a\u0923 \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928\u0932\u093e \u0905\u0921\u0925\u0933\u093e \u0906\u0923\u0923\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0907\u0924\u0915\u093e \u0928\u093e\u0939\u0940.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>IMD \u0924\u093e\u091c\u093e Alert \u2014 \u096b \u091c\u093f\u0932\u094d\u0939\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0902\u0924 Orange, \u0968\u0969 \u091c\u093f\u0932\u094d\u0939\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0902\u0924 Yellow<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"914\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_vis-914x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1570\" srcset=\"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_vis-914x1024.jpg 914w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_vis-268x300.jpg 268w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_vis-768x860.jpg 768w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_vis-1372x1536.jpg 1372w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_vis-1829x2048.jpg 1829w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_vis.jpg 2002w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 914px) 100vw, 914px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0906\u091c (\u0969\u0966 \u091c\u0942\u0928) \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930\u093e\u0924\u0940\u0932 \u0938\u094d\u0925\u093f\u0924\u0940 \u2014 \u096b \u091c\u093f\u0932\u094d\u0939\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0902\u0924 Orange Alert: \u092e\u0941\u0902\u092c\u0908, \u0920\u093e\u0923\u0947, \u0930\u093e\u092f\u0917\u0921, \u0930\u0924\u094d\u0928\u093e\u0917\u093f\u0930\u0940, \u0938\u093f\u0902\u0927\u0941\u0926\u0941\u0930\u094d\u0917. \u0915\u094b\u0915\u0923\u093e\u0924 \u0905\u0924\u093f \u092e\u0941\u0938\u0933\u0927\u093e\u0930 \u092a\u093e\u0935\u0938\u093e\u091a\u093e \u0907\u0936\u093e\u0930\u093e. \u0968\u0969 \u091c\u093f\u0932\u094d\u0939\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0902\u0924 Yellow Alert \u2014 \u092a\u0936\u094d\u091a\u093f\u092e \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930 (\u092a\u0941\u0923\u0947, \u0938\u093e\u0924\u093e\u0930\u093e, \u0915\u094b\u0932\u094d\u0939\u093e\u092a\u0942\u0930, \u0938\u093e\u0902\u0917\u0932\u0940, \u0938\u094b\u0932\u093e\u092a\u0942\u0930), \u0909\u0924\u094d\u0924\u0930 \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930 (\u091c\u0933\u0917\u093e\u0935, \u0928\u093e\u0936\u093f\u0915, \u0927\u0941\u0933\u0947, \u0905\u0939\u093f\u0932\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0928\u0917\u0930, \u0928\u0902\u0926\u0941\u0930\u092c\u093e\u0930), \u092e\u0930\u093e\u0920\u0935\u093e\u0921\u093e (\u0938\u0930\u094d\u0935 \u096e \u091c\u093f\u0932\u094d\u0939\u0947), \u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d (\u0905\u092e\u0930\u093e\u0935\u0924\u0940, \u0917\u094b\u0902\u0926\u093f\u092f\u093e, \u0928\u093e\u0917\u092a\u0942\u0930, \u0935\u0930\u094d\u0927\u093e, \u092d\u0902\u0921\u093e\u0930\u093e, \u091a\u0902\u0926\u094d\u0930\u092a\u0942\u0930, \u0917\u0921\u091a\u093f\u0930\u094b\u0932\u0940, \u092f\u0935\u0924\u092e\u093e\u0933). \u091c\u0942\u0928\u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u0947 \u092a\u0939\u093f\u0932\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0902\u0926\u093e \u0907\u0924\u0915\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0935\u094d\u092f\u093e\u092a\u0915 \u0938\u094d\u0935\u0930\u0942\u092a\u093e\u0924 alert \u2014 \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928 \u092c\u0933\u0915\u091f \u0939\u094b\u0924\u094b\u092f.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u091c\u093e\u092f\u092d\u093e\u092f\u0947 \u2014 \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930 \u0932\u093e\u0932 \u091d\u094b\u0928\u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u0947 upgrade<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0938\u093f\u0928\u094d\u0928\u0930 (\u0928\u093e\u0936\u093f\u0915) \u091a\u0947 \u0938\u094d\u0935\u0924\u0902\u0924\u094d\u0930 \u0939\u0935\u093e\u092e\u093e\u0928\u0936\u093e\u0938\u094d\u0924\u094d\u0930\u091c\u094d\u091e \u0935\u093f\u091c\u092f \u091c\u093e\u092f\u092d\u093e\u092f\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u0902\u0928\u0940 \u0968\u096f \u091c\u0942\u0928\u0932\u093e \u0938\u093e\u0902\u0917\u093f\u0924\u0932\u0947 \u2014 \u0917\u0947\u0932\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0906\u0920\u0935\u0921\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0924 \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930 &#8220;\u092a\u093f\u0935\u0933\u093e \u091d\u094b\u0928&#8221; (\u0915\u093f\u0930\u0915\u094b\u0933 \u092a\u093e\u090a\u0938) \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u0947 \u0939\u094b\u0924\u093e \u2014 \u0906\u091c \u0924\u094b &#8220;\u0932\u093e\u0932 \u091d\u094b\u0928&#8221; (\u091c\u094b\u0930\u0926\u093e\u0930 \u0924\u0947 \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u092e) \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u0947 upgrade. \u0939\u093e \u092c\u0926\u0932 \u0938\u094b\u092f\u093e\u092c\u0940\u0928 \u0936\u0947\u0924\u0915\u0931\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0902\u0938\u093e\u0920\u0940 \u0938\u0930\u094d\u0935\u093e\u0924 \u092e\u0939\u0924\u094d\u0924\u094d\u0935\u093e\u091a\u093e \u2014 \u0928\u093e\u0936\u093f\u0915, \u0905\u0939\u093f\u0932\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0928\u0917\u0930, \u092a\u0941\u0923\u0947, \u0938\u093e\u0924\u093e\u0930\u093e, \u092c\u0940\u0921, \u091c\u0933\u0917\u093e\u0935, \u0938\u0902\u092d\u093e\u091c\u0940\u0928\u0917\u0930 \u2014 \u0939\u093e \u0938\u0902\u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0923 \u0938\u094b\u092f\u093e\u092c\u0940\u0928 \u092a\u091f\u094d\u091f\u093e \u0906\u0924\u093e \u0932\u093e\u0932 \u091d\u094b\u0928\u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u0947.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u091c\u093e\u092f\u092d\u093e\u092f\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u0902\u091a\u0947 \u0924\u0940\u0928 \u091d\u094b\u0928 \u2014 \u0968 \u0924\u0947 \u096b \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948: \u0928\u093f\u0933\u093e (\u0915\u094b\u0915\u0923 + \u0918\u093e\u091f) \u2014 \u092e\u0941\u0902\u092c\u0908, \u0920\u093e\u0923\u0947, \u092a\u093e\u0932\u0918\u0930, \u0930\u093e\u092f\u0917\u0921, \u0930\u0924\u094d\u0928\u093e\u0917\u093f\u0930\u0940, \u0938\u093f\u0902\u0927\u0941\u0926\u0941\u0930\u094d\u0917 + \u0918\u093e\u091f \u092d\u093e\u0917 \u2014 \u092e\u0941\u0938\u0933\u0927\u093e\u0930. \u092c\u0902\u0917\u093e\u0932\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0909\u092a\u0938\u093e\u0917\u0930\u093e\u0924\u0940\u0932 \u0915\u092e\u0940 \u0926\u093e\u092c \u0938\u0915\u094d\u0930\u093f\u092f \u2192 \u0915\u094b\u0915\u0923\u093e\u0924 \u092a\u093e\u090a\u0938 \u0935\u093e\u0922\u0947\u0932. \u0932\u093e\u0932 (\u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f-\u0909\u0924\u094d\u0924\u0930 \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930 + \u092a\u0936\u094d\u091a\u093f\u092e \u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d) \u2014 \u0927\u0941\u0933\u0947, \u0928\u0902\u0926\u0941\u0930\u092c\u093e\u0930, \u0928\u093e\u0936\u093f\u0915, \u091c\u0933\u0917\u093e\u0935, \u0938\u0902\u092d\u093e\u091c\u0940\u0928\u0917\u0930, \u0905\u0939\u093f\u0932\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0928\u0917\u0930, \u092a\u0936\u094d\u091a\u093f\u092e \u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d, \u092a\u0941\u0923\u0947, \u0938\u093e\u0924\u093e\u0930\u093e, \u092c\u0940\u0921, \u092a\u0930\u092d\u0923\u0940, \u091c\u093e\u0932\u0928\u093e \u2014 \u091d\u0921 \u0938\u094d\u0935\u0930\u0942\u092a\u093e\u0924 \u091c\u094b\u0930\u0926\u093e\u0930 \u0924\u0947 \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u092e. \u092a\u093f\u0935\u0933\u093e (\u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0935 \u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d + \u092e\u0930\u093e\u0920\u0935\u093e\u0921\u093e) \u2014 \u0915\u093e\u0939\u0940 \u092d\u093e\u0917\u093e\u0924 \u091c\u094b\u0930\u0926\u093e\u0930, \u0915\u093e\u0939\u0940 \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u092e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u091c\u093e\u092f\u092d\u093e\u092f\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u0902\u091a\u093e MJO timeline: &#8220;MJO Phase 2\/3\/4 \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u0947 \u0906\u0939\u0947 \u0924\u094b \u092a\u0930\u094d\u092f\u0902\u0924 El Ni\u00f1o \u091a\u093e \u092a\u094d\u0930\u092d\u093e\u0935 \u0938\u093e\u0927\u093e\u0930\u0923 \u0967\u0966 \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948 \u092a\u0930\u094d\u092f\u0902\u0924 \u092b\u093e\u0930\u0938\u093e \u0928\u0938\u0947\u0932. \u0928\u0902\u0924\u0930 \u092a\u0941\u0928\u094d\u0939\u093e \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928 \u092c\u094d\u0930\u0947\u0915 \u092a\u0930\u093f\u0938\u094d\u0925\u093f\u0924\u0940 \u092f\u0947\u0908\u0932.&#8221; \u092e\u094d\u0939\u0923\u091c\u0947 \u092a\u0947\u0930\u0923\u0940\u091a\u0940 \u0916\u093f\u0921\u0915\u0940: \u0968 \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948 \u0924\u0947 \u0967\u0966 \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948 = \u096e \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u091c\u093e\u092f\u092d\u093e\u092f\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u0902\u091a\u0940 El Ni\u00f1o \u092c\u0926\u094d\u0926\u0932 \u091a\u0947\u0924\u093e\u0935\u0923\u0940 \u0915\u093e\u092f\u092e: &#8220;\u0938\u0927\u094d\u092f\u093e \u092a\u093e\u090a\u0938 \u092a\u0921\u0924\u094b \u092a\u0923 \u0938\u0917\u0933\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0917\u093e\u0935\u093e\u0902\u0924 \u0928\u093e\u0939\u0940. \u092f\u093e\u091a\u0947 \u0915\u093e\u0930\u0923 \u092b\u0915\u094d\u0924 El Ni\u00f1o \u2014 \u0935\u094d\u092f\u093e\u092a\u093e\u0930\u0940 \u0935\u093e\u0930\u0947 \u0915\u092e\u0915\u0941\u0935\u0924 \u2014 \u092d\u093e\u0930\u0924\u093e\u0924 \u092c\u093e\u0937\u094d\u092a \u092a\u0941\u0930\u0935\u0920\u093e \u0915\u092e\u0940 \u2014 \u091c\u093f\u0925\u0947 \u092a\u093e\u090a\u0938 \u0938\u0941\u0930\u0942 \u0939\u094b\u0924\u094b \u0924\u093f\u0925\u0947 \u0906\u091c\u0942\u092c\u093e\u091c\u0942\u091a\u0947 \u092c\u093e\u0937\u094d\u092a \u0916\u0947\u091a\u0932\u0947 \u091c\u093e\u0924\u0947 \u2014 \u091a\u093e\u0930-\u092a\u093e\u091a \u0917\u093e\u0935\u093e\u0902\u0924 \u0916\u0942\u092a \u092a\u0921\u0924\u094b, \u092c\u093e\u0915\u0940 \u0915\u094b\u0930\u0921\u0947. \u092f\u093e \u0918\u091f\u0928\u093e \u0938\u0902\u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0923 \u092a\u093e\u0935\u0938\u093e\u0933\u093e\u092d\u0930 \u0926\u093f\u0938\u0924\u0940\u0932.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u091c\u093e\u092f\u092d\u093e\u092f\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u0902\u0928\u0940 \u091c\u092a\u093e\u0928\u091c\u0935\u0933\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e Typhoon \u091a\u0940 \u0905\u092b\u0935\u093e \u0916\u094b\u0921\u0942\u0928 \u0915\u093e\u0922\u0932\u0940 \u2014 &#8220;\u0915\u094b\u0923\u0924\u0947\u0939\u0940 \u0935\u093e\u0926\u0933 \u092b\u0915\u094d\u0924 \u0906\u092a\u0932\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0967,\u0966\u0966\u0966 \u0915\u093f\u092e\u0940 \u092a\u0930\u093f\u0938\u0930\u093e\u0924 \u0935\u093e\u0924\u093e\u0935\u0930\u0923 \u092c\u0926\u0932\u0924\u0947. \u092d\u093e\u0930\u0924\u093e\u0935\u0930 \u0936\u0942\u0928\u094d\u092f \u092a\u094d\u0930\u092d\u093e\u0935. \u0917\u0947\u0932\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0935\u0930\u094d\u0937\u0940\u0939\u0940 \u091c\u092a\u093e\u0928\u091c\u0935\u0933 \u0935\u093e\u0926\u0933\u0947 \u0939\u094b\u0924\u0940 \u2014 \u092d\u093e\u0930\u0924\u0940\u092f \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928 \u092c\u0932\u0915\u091f \u0939\u094b\u0924\u093e.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u0916\u0941\u0933\u0947 \u2014 \u0938\u0915\u093e\u0933 \u0905\u0945\u0917\u094d\u0930\u094b\u0935\u0928 \u092e\u0941\u0932\u093e\u0916\u0924: &#8220;\u0967\u096a% \u0924\u0942\u091f, \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948 \u0938\u0930\u094d\u0935\u093e\u0924 \u092e\u0939\u0924\u094d\u0924\u094d\u0935\u093e\u091a\u093e&#8221;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">IMD \u092a\u0941\u0923\u0947\u091a\u0947 \u0928\u093f\u0935\u0943\u0924\u094d\u0924 \u0939\u0935\u093e\u092e\u093e\u0928\u0936\u093e\u0938\u094d\u0924\u094d\u0930\u091c\u094d\u091e \u092e\u093e\u0923\u093f\u0915\u0930\u093e\u0935 \u0916\u0941\u0933\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u0902\u0928\u0940 \u0938\u0915\u093e\u0933 \u0905\u0945\u0917\u094d\u0930\u094b\u0935\u0928\u0932\u093e (\u0968\u096f \u091c\u0942\u0928, \u0905\u0928\u093f\u0932 \u091c\u093e\u0927\u0935 \u092f\u093e\u0902\u0928\u093e) \u0926\u093f\u0932\u0947\u0932\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0938\u0935\u093f\u0938\u094d\u0924\u0930 \u092e\u0941\u0932\u093e\u0916\u0924\u0940\u0924 \u0938\u093e\u0902\u0917\u093f\u0924\u0932\u0947 \u0915\u0940 \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948 \u092e\u0939\u093f\u0928\u093e \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928\u091a\u093e \u0938\u0930\u094d\u0935\u093e\u0924 \u092e\u0939\u0924\u094d\u0924\u094d\u0935\u093e\u091a\u093e \u092e\u0939\u093f\u0928\u093e \u0920\u0930\u0947\u0932. \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u092a\u0939\u093f\u0932\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0926\u094b\u0928 \u0906\u0920\u0935\u0921\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0902\u0924 \u092a\u0947\u0930\u0923\u0940\u092f\u094b\u0917\u094d\u092f \u092a\u093e\u090a\u0938 \u092a\u0921\u0923\u094d\u092f\u093e\u091a\u0940 \u0936\u0915\u094d\u092f\u0924\u093e \u0905\u0927\u093f\u0915. \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930 \u0906\u0923\u093f \u092e\u0930\u093e\u0920\u0935\u093e\u0921\u094d\u092f\u093e\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0924\u0941\u0932\u0928\u0947\u0924 \u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d\u093e\u0924 \u091a\u093e\u0902\u0917\u0932\u094d\u092f\u093e \u092a\u093e\u0935\u0938\u093e\u091a\u0940 \u0936\u0915\u094d\u092f\u0924\u093e \u0905\u0927\u093f\u0915 \u2014 \u0906\u091c\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e satellite &#8220;intense to very intense&#8221; upgrade \u0936\u0940 \u0924\u0902\u0924\u094b\u0924\u0902\u0924 \u091c\u0941\u0933\u0924\u0947.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0916\u0941\u0933\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u0902\u0928\u0940 MJO \u091a\u0947 \u0938\u094d\u092a\u0937\u094d\u091f\u0940\u0915\u0930\u0923 \u0926\u093f\u0932\u0947 \u2014 &#8220;MJO&#8221; \u0935\u093f\u0937\u0941\u0935\u0935\u0943\u0924\u094d\u0924\u093e\u0935\u0930 \u0969\u0966 \u0924\u0947 \u096c\u0966 \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938\u093e\u0902\u0924 \u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0935\u0947\u0915\u0921\u0947 \u0938\u0930\u0915\u0923\u093e\u0930\u0947 atmospheric oscillation. \u0938\u0927\u094d\u092f\u093e\u091a\u093e Phase \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928\u0932\u093e \u092a\u094b\u0937\u0915. MJO \u092e\u0941\u0933\u0947\u091a \u0915\u094b\u0915\u0923\u093e\u0924 \u0938\u0927\u094d\u092f\u093e \u092a\u093e\u090a\u0938 \u0938\u0915\u094d\u0930\u093f\u092f. \u091c\u093e\u092f\u092d\u093e\u092f\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u0902\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e &#8220;MJO support ~\u0967\u0966 \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948\u092a\u0930\u094d\u092f\u0902\u0924&#8221; \u092f\u093e \u0905\u0902\u0926\u093e\u091c\u093e\u0932\u093e \u0916\u0941\u0933\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u0902\u091a\u0947 MJO \u0938\u094d\u092a\u0937\u094d\u091f\u0940\u0915\u0930\u0923 \u092a\u0942\u0930\u0915.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u090f\u0932 \u0928\u093f\u0928\u094b \u092c\u0926\u094d\u0926\u0932 \u0916\u0941\u0933\u0947 \u092e\u094d\u0939\u0923\u093e\u0932\u0947 \u2014 \u090f\u0932 \u0928\u093f\u0928\u094b \u0938\u0927\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0938\u0915\u094d\u0930\u093f\u092f, IOD neutral. IOD \u0939\u093e \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928\u0938\u093e\u0920\u0940 \u090f\u0915 \u091c\u094b\u0921 \u0938\u094d\u0930\u094b\u0924 \u2014 \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928\u091a\u0947 \u090f\u0915\u092e\u0947\u0935 \u0928\u093f\u092f\u0902\u0924\u094d\u0930\u0915 \u0928\u093e\u0939\u0940. \u092a\u0923 \u090f\u0932 \u0928\u093f\u0928\u094b \u0924\u0940\u0935\u094d\u0930 \u0939\u094b\u0924 \u0905\u0938\u0932\u094d\u092f\u093e\u092e\u0941\u0933\u0947 \u0939\u0902\u0917\u093e\u092e\u0940 \u092a\u093e\u090a\u0938 \u0938\u0930\u093e\u0938\u0930\u0940\u092a\u0947\u0915\u094d\u0937\u093e \u0905\u0902\u0926\u093e\u091c\u0947 \u0967\u096a% \u0915\u092e\u0940 \u0930\u093e\u0939\u0923\u094d\u092f\u093e\u091a\u0940 \u0936\u0915\u094d\u092f\u0924\u093e. \u0939\u093e IMD \u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u096f\u0966% LPA (\u0967\u0966% \u0924\u0942\u091f) \u092a\u0947\u0915\u094d\u0937\u093e \u0905\u0927\u093f\u0915 \u0915\u0920\u094b\u0930 \u0905\u0902\u0926\u093e\u091c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0927\u0930\u0923\u093e\u0902\u092c\u0926\u094d\u0926\u0932 \u0916\u0941\u0933\u0947 \u092e\u094d\u0939\u0923\u093e\u0932\u0947 \u2014 \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0915\u093e\u0933\u093e\u0924 \u092a\u093e\u090a\u0938 \u0938\u0930\u093e\u0938\u0930\u0940\u092a\u0947\u0915\u094d\u0937\u093e \u0915\u092e\u0940 \u0939\u094b\u0923\u093e\u0930 \u0905\u0938\u0932\u093e \u0924\u0930\u0940 \u0938\u0930\u093e\u0938\u0930\u0940\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u096e\u096b-\u096f\u0966% \u092a\u0921\u0942 \u0936\u0915\u0924\u094b \u2014 \u091c\u094d\u092f\u093e\u092e\u0941\u0933\u0947 \u0927\u0930\u0923\u0947 \u0915\u093e\u0939\u0940 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u092e\u093e\u0923\u093e\u0924 \u092d\u0930\u0924\u0940\u0932. \u092a\u0923 \u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0923 \u092d\u0930\u0923\u094d\u092f\u093e\u091a\u0940 \u0936\u0915\u094d\u092f\u0924\u093e \u0915\u092e\u0940 \u2014 \u0935\u093f\u0936\u0947\u0937\u0924\u0903 \u0911\u0917\u0938\u094d\u091f-\u0938\u092a\u094d\u091f\u0947\u0902\u092c\u0930\u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u0947 \u090f\u0932 \u0928\u093f\u0928\u094b \u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0923 \u0924\u093e\u0915\u0926\u0940\u0935\u0930 \u0905\u0938\u0947\u0932 \u0924\u0947\u0935\u094d\u0939\u093e \u092a\u093e\u0935\u0938\u093e\u091a\u093e \u091c\u094b\u0930 \u0915\u092e\u0940 \u0939\u094b\u0908\u0932.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u092e\u0941\u0902\u092c\u0908\u0924 \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928 \u0909\u0936\u093f\u0930\u093e \u0915\u093e \u0906\u0932\u093e \u2014 \u0916\u0941\u0933\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u0902\u091a\u0947 \u0938\u094d\u092a\u0937\u094d\u091f\u0940\u0915\u0930\u0923: \u090f\u0932 \u0928\u093f\u0928\u094b \u0935\u0930\u094d\u0937\u093e\u0924 \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928 \u0906\u0917\u092e\u0928 \u0909\u0936\u093f\u0930\u093e \u0939\u094b\u0924\u0947. \u0968\u0966\u0967\u096f \u0906\u0923\u093f \u0968\u0966\u0968\u0969 \u2014 \u0926\u094b\u0928\u094d\u0939\u0940 \u090f\u0932 \u0928\u093f\u0928\u094b \u0935\u0930\u094d\u0937\u0947 \u2014 \u0926\u094b\u0928\u094d\u0939\u0940 \u0935\u0930\u094d\u0937\u0940 \u092e\u0941\u0902\u092c\u0908\u0924 \u0909\u0936\u093f\u0930\u093e. \u092c\u0902\u0917\u093e\u0932\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0909\u092a\u0938\u093e\u0917\u0930\u093e\u091a\u0940 \u0936\u093e\u0916\u093e \u092a\u0936\u094d\u091a\u093f\u092e \u0915\u093f\u0928\u093e\u0930\u092a\u091f\u094d\u091f\u0940\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0936\u093e\u0916\u0947\u092a\u0947\u0915\u094d\u0937\u093e \u0935\u0947\u0917\u093e\u0928\u0947 \u092a\u0941\u0922\u0947 \u0938\u0930\u0915\u0924\u0947 \u2014 \u092e\u094d\u0939\u0923\u0942\u0928 \u0908\u0936\u093e\u0928\u094d\u092f \u092d\u093e\u0930\u0924\u093e\u0924 \u0906\u0927\u0940, \u092e\u0941\u0902\u092c\u0908\u0924 \u0928\u0902\u0924\u0930. \u092f\u093e \u0935\u0930\u094d\u0937\u0940 \u092e\u0941\u0902\u092c\u0908 \u0967\u0968 \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938 \u0909\u0936\u0940\u0930\u093e \u2014 El Ni\u00f1o pattern.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">IMD Extended Range Forecast \u2014 Week 1 vs Week 2<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">IMD \u0928\u0947 \u0968\u096b \u091c\u0942\u0928\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0967\u0969 \u092a\u093e\u0928\u0940 Extended Range Forecast \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u0947 \u0926\u094b\u0928 \u0906\u0920\u0935\u0921\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0902\u091a\u093e \u0938\u094d\u0935\u0924\u0902\u0924\u094d\u0930 \u0905\u0902\u0926\u093e\u091c \u0926\u093f\u0932\u093e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Week 1 (\u0968\u096b \u091c\u0942\u0928 \u0924\u0947 \u0967 \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948): &#8220;Rainfall activity is likely to remain below normal over most parts of the country except parts of South Peninsular India and Northeast India.&#8221; \u092c\u0939\u0941\u0924\u093e\u0902\u0936 \u0926\u0947\u0936\u093e\u0924 \u0938\u0930\u093e\u0938\u0930\u0940\u0916\u093e\u0932\u0940 \u2014 \u0939\u0947 \u0916\u0930\u0947 \u0920\u0930\u0932\u0947. \u091c\u0942\u0928\u091a\u0940 \u0924\u0942\u091f \u096a\u0968% \u0915\u093e\u092f\u092e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Week 2 (\u0968 \u0924\u0947 \u096e \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948): &#8220;Overall, rainfall is likely to be normal to above normal over the entire country during the week.&#8221; \u0939\u093e game-changer. \u0938\u0902\u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0923 \u0926\u0947\u0936\u093e\u0924 \u0938\u093e\u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u092f \u0924\u0947 \u0905\u0927\u093f\u0915. Somali Jet \u092c\u0933\u0915\u091f. \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928 \u0909\u0924\u094d\u0924\u0930\u0947\u0915\u0921\u0947 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0917\u0924\u0940. &#8220;No significant Heatwave conditions likely over any part of the country&#8221; \u2014 \u0909\u0937\u094d\u0923\u0932\u093e\u091f \u0938\u0902\u092a\u0923\u093e\u0930.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">IMD \u0928\u0947 \u090f\u0932 \u0928\u093f\u0928\u094b \u0938\u094d\u0935\u0924\u0903 confirm \u0915\u0947\u0932\u0947: &#8220;El Ni\u00f1o conditions are present over the equatorial Pacific Ocean and are expected to strengthen further during the Southwest Monsoon season.&#8221; IOD neutral \u2014 &#8220;likely to persist through the Southwest Monsoon season.&#8221; Positive IOD \u091a\u093e counter \u0928\u093e\u0939\u0940.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>IMD \u0928\u0947 \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930\u093e\u0938\u093e\u0920\u0940 Very heavy rainfall (\u0968-\u096a \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948) \u091a\u093e \u0905\u0902\u0926\u093e\u091c \u0926\u093f\u0932\u093e \u2014 \u0917\u0947\u0932\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0906\u0920\u0935\u0921\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0924 \u0939\u0947 \u0928\u0935\u094d\u0939\u0924\u0947.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u0924\u093e\u092a\u092e\u093e\u0928\u093e\u0924 \u092e\u094b\u0920\u093e \u0926\u093f\u0932\u093e\u0938\u093e \u2014 \u0969\u0966 \u091c\u0942\u0928\u0928\u0902\u0924\u0930<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">IMD \u0928\u0947 \u0938\u093e\u0902\u0917\u093f\u0924\u0932\u0947 \u2014 \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930\u093e\u0924 \u0969\u0966 \u091c\u0942\u0928\u0928\u0902\u0924\u0930 \u0924\u093e\u092a\u092e\u093e\u0928 \u0969-\u096b\u00b0C \u0915\u092e\u0940. \u0917\u0941\u091c\u0930\u093e\u0924\u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u0947 \u0967 \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948\u0928\u0902\u0924\u0930 \u0968-\u0969\u00b0C. \u0909\u0924\u094d\u0924\u0930-\u092a\u0936\u094d\u091a\u093f\u092e \u092d\u093e\u0930\u0924\u093e\u0924 \u096a-\u096c\u00b0C. Week 2 \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u0947 \u0915\u094b\u0923\u0924\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0939\u0940 \u092d\u093e\u0917\u093e\u0924 \u0909\u0937\u094d\u0923\u0932\u093e\u091f \u0928\u093e\u0939\u0940. FAO-WMO \u0928\u0947 \u0938\u093e\u0902\u0917\u093f\u0924\u0932\u0947\u0932\u094d\u092f\u093e &#8220;extreme heat and agriculture&#8221; \u0938\u0902\u0915\u091f\u093e\u0924\u0942\u0928 \u0924\u093e\u0924\u094d\u092a\u0941\u0930\u0924\u093e \u0926\u093f\u0932\u093e\u0938\u093e \u2014 \u0936\u0947\u0924\u092e\u091c\u0941\u0930\u093e\u0902\u0938\u093e\u0920\u0940, \u091c\u0928\u093e\u0935\u0930\u093e\u0902\u0938\u093e\u0920\u0940, \u092a\u093f\u0915\u093e\u0902\u0938\u093e\u0920\u0940.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u092a\u0947\u0930\u0923\u0940\u091a\u0940 \u0916\u093f\u0921\u0915\u0940 \u2014 \u096e \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0906\u091c \u0924\u0940\u0928 \u0938\u094d\u0935\u0924\u0902\u0924\u094d\u0930 \u0938\u094d\u0930\u094b\u0924 \u2014 satellite, IMD \u0906\u0923\u093f \u091c\u093e\u092f\u092d\u093e\u092f\u0947 \u2014 \u090f\u0915\u091a \u0938\u093e\u0902\u0917\u0924\u093e\u092f\u0924. Satellite: convection upgrade \u2014 weak \u2192 moderate \u2192 intense \u2192 very intense \u2014 \u091a\u093e\u0930 \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938\u093e\u0902\u0924. IMD Week 2 (\u0968-\u096e \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948): &#8220;normal to above normal over entire country.&#8221; \u091c\u093e\u092f\u092d\u093e\u092f\u0947: \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930 \u092a\u093f\u0935\u0933\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0924\u0942\u0928 \u0932\u093e\u0932 \u2014 \u0968-\u096b \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948 \u2014 \u091c\u094b\u0930\u0926\u093e\u0930 \u0924\u0947 \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u092e. \u092c\u0902\u0917\u093e\u0932\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0909\u092a\u0938\u093e\u0917\u0930\u093e\u0924 low-pressure area\/depression \u0924\u092f\u093e\u0930 \u0939\u094b\u0924\u094b\u092f \u2014 rain belt \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f \u092d\u093e\u0930\u0924\u093e\u0915\u0921\u0947 \u0913\u0922\u0923\u093e\u0930. MJO support ~\u0967\u0966 \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948\u092a\u0930\u094d\u092f\u0902\u0924.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u092a\u0923 \u0916\u093f\u0921\u0915\u0940 \u096e \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938\u093e\u0902\u091a\u0940 \u2014 \u0968 \u0924\u0947 \u0967\u0966 \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948. \u091c\u093e\u092f\u092d\u093e\u092f\u0947 \u092e\u094d\u0939\u0923\u0924\u093e\u0924 \u2014 &#8220;\u0967\u0966 \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948\u0928\u0902\u0924\u0930 El Ni\u00f1o \u091a\u093e \u092a\u094d\u0930\u092d\u093e\u0935 \u2014 \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928 \u092c\u094d\u0930\u0947\u0915.&#8221; \u0916\u0941\u0933\u0947 \u092e\u094d\u0939\u0923\u0924\u093e\u0924 \u2014 &#8220;\u0939\u0902\u0917\u093e\u092e\u0940 \u0924\u0942\u091f \u0967\u096a%.&#8221; JAMSTEC \u092e\u094d\u0939\u0923\u0924\u094b \u2014 &#8220;Strong El Ni\u00f1o in boreal summer \u2014 \u0915\u093e\u0939\u0940 \u092e\u0949\u0921\u0947\u0932 Super.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u0936\u0947\u0924\u0915\u0931\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0902\u0938\u093e\u0920\u0940 \u2014 \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948\u091a\u0940 \u0924\u092f\u093e\u0930\u0940<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0915\u094b\u0915\u0923 \u2014 \u092a\u0947\u0930\u0923\u0940 \u0938\u0941\u0930\u0942. \u092d\u093e\u0924 \u0930\u094b\u092a\u0935\u093e\u091f\u093f\u0915\u093e. \u092e\u0941\u0902\u092c\u0908\u0924 \u0967\u0966\u0969 \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940 \u092a\u093e\u0930 \u2014 \u096d\u096b \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940+ \u0938\u0932\u0917. \u092a\u0923 \u092a\u0942\u0930 \u0938\u091c\u094d\u091c\u0924\u093e \u0915\u093e\u092f\u092e \u2014 \u092a\u0902\u0927\u0930\u093e \u0928\u0926\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0902\u091a\u093e \u0907\u0936\u093e\u0930\u093e. \u0928\u0926\u0940\u0915\u093e\u0920 \u0938\u093e\u0935\u0927.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d \u2014 satellite &#8220;intense to very intense.&#8221; \u0915\u093e\u092a\u0942\u0938 \u092a\u0947\u0930\u0923\u0940\u0938\u093e\u0920\u0940 \u0905\u0928\u0941\u0915\u0942\u0932. \u096d\u096b \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940+ \u0924\u0941\u092e\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0924\u093e\u0932\u0941\u0915\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0924 \u091d\u093e\u0932\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0935\u0930 \u2014 \u0915\u093e\u092a\u0942\u0938 \u092a\u0947\u0930\u093e. \u0928\u093e\u0917\u092a\u0942\u0930-\u0917\u0921\u091a\u093f\u0930\u094b\u0932\u0940-\u091a\u0902\u0926\u094d\u0930\u092a\u0942\u0930-\u092f\u0935\u0924\u092e\u093e\u0933-\u0905\u092e\u0930\u093e\u0935\u0924\u0940 \u2014 \u0938\u0915\u094d\u0930\u093f\u092f. \u0905\u0915\u094b\u0932\u093e-\u092c\u0941\u0932\u0922\u093e\u0923\u093e-\u0935\u093e\u0936\u093f\u092e \u2014 \u0905\u091c\u0942\u0928 \u0915\u094b\u0930\u0921\u0947 \u2014 \u0924\u0941\u092e\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0917\u093e\u0935\u093e\u0924\u0940\u0932 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0924\u094d\u092f\u0915\u094d\u0937 \u092a\u093e\u090a\u0938 \u092c\u0918\u093e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930 (\u0938\u094b\u092f\u093e\u092c\u0940\u0928-\u0915\u093e\u0902\u0926\u093e \u092a\u091f\u094d\u091f\u093e) \u2014 &#8220;moderate to intense&#8221; \u2014 \u0938\u0941\u0927\u093e\u0930\u0923\u093e. \u091c\u093e\u092f\u092d\u093e\u092f\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u0902\u091a\u093e \u0932\u093e\u0932 \u091d\u094b\u0928 \u2014 \u0968-\u096b \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948 \u091c\u094b\u0930\u0926\u093e\u0930 \u0924\u0947 \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u092e. IMD \u2014 very heavy rainfall \u0968-\u096a \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948. \u096d\u096b \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940+ \u0924\u0941\u092e\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0936\u0947\u0924\u093e\u0924 \u092a\u0921\u0932\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0935\u0930 \u2014 \u0938\u094b\u092f\u093e\u092c\u0940\u0928 \u092a\u0947\u0930\u093e. &#8220;\u0916\u094b\u091f\u0940 \u0938\u0941\u0930\u0941\u0935\u093e\u0924&#8221; \u091f\u093e\u0933\u093e \u2014 \u092c\u093f\u092f\u093e\u0923\u0947 \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0917, SSP \u096c\u096e%, \u0926\u0941\u092c\u093e\u0930 \u092a\u0930\u0935\u0921\u0923\u093e\u0930 \u0928\u093e\u0939\u0940. \u0938\u094b\u092f\u093e\u092c\u0940\u0928 \u0936\u0947\u0935\u091f\u091a\u0940 \u0906\u0926\u0930\u094d\u0936 \u0924\u093e\u0930\u0940\u0916 \u2014 \u0968\u096b \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948. \u0905\u091c\u0942\u0928 \u0968\u096c \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u092e\u0930\u093e\u0920\u0935\u093e\u0921\u093e \u2014 \u0938\u0930\u094d\u0935 \u096e \u091c\u093f\u0932\u094d\u0939\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0902\u0924 Yellow Alert \u2014 \u0938\u0941\u0927\u093e\u0930\u0923\u093e. \u092a\u0923 thundershowers = \u0935\u093f\u0916\u0941\u0930\u0932\u0947\u0932\u0947. Low-pressure area \u092c\u0902\u0917\u093e\u0932\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0909\u092a\u0938\u093e\u0917\u0930\u093e\u0924\u0942\u0928 \u0906\u0932\u093e \u0924\u0930 \u2014 rain belt \u0924\u0947\u0932\u0902\u0917\u0923\u093e-\u092e\u0930\u093e\u0920\u0935\u093e\u0921\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0915\u0921\u0947 \u096b \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948\u092a\u0930\u094d\u092f\u0902\u0924. \u0924\u094b\u092a\u0930\u094d\u092f\u0902\u0924 \u2014 \u0924\u092f\u093e\u0930\u0940, \u0927\u0940\u0930.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0938\u0930\u094d\u0935\u093e\u0902\u0938\u093e\u0920\u0940: PMFBY \u092a\u0940\u0915 \u0935\u093f\u092e\u093e \u2014 \u0906\u0924\u094d\u0924\u093e\u091a \u092d\u0930\u093e. \u0916\u0924 \u091c\u0947 \u092e\u093f\u0933\u0924\u0902\u092f \u0924\u0947 \u0906\u0924\u094d\u0924\u093e\u091a \u2014 \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948\u0924 peak demand. \u0936\u0947\u0924\u0924\u0933\u0947 \u0924\u092f\u093e\u0930 \u2014 \u092a\u093e\u0935\u0938\u093e\u091a\u093e \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0924\u094d\u092f\u0947\u0915 \u0925\u0947\u0902\u092c \u0938\u093e\u0920\u0935\u093e. Mulching \u0924\u092f\u093e\u0930\u0940 \u2014 \u092a\u0947\u0930\u0923\u0940\u0928\u0902\u0924\u0930 \u0932\u0917\u0947\u091a \u0917\u0935\u0924\u093e\u091a\u0947 \u0906\u091a\u094d\u091b\u093e\u0926\u0928. \u092e\u093e\u0924\u0940 \u092a\u0930\u0940\u0915\u094d\u0937\u0923.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u091c\u0942\u0928 \u2014 \u090f\u0915\u093e \u0928\u091c\u0930\u0947\u0924<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u091c\u0942\u0928 \u090f\u0915\u093e \u0935\u093e\u0915\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0924: &#8220;\u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928 \u0906\u0932\u093e, \u0909\u0936\u093f\u0930\u093e \u0906\u0932\u093e, \u0905\u092a\u0941\u0930\u093e \u0906\u0932\u093e \u2014 \u092a\u0923 \u0936\u0947\u0935\u091f\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938\u093e\u0902\u0924 \u092c\u0933\u0915\u091f \u0939\u094b\u0924\u094b\u092f.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0915\u0947\u0930\u0933 \u096a \u091c\u0942\u0928 (\u0969 \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938 \u0909\u0936\u0940\u0930\u093e). \u092e\u0941\u0902\u092c\u0908 \u0968\u0969 \u091c\u0942\u0928 (\u0967\u0968 \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938 \u0909\u0936\u0940\u0930\u093e). \u0938\u0902\u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0923 \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930 \u0968\u096a \u091c\u0942\u0928. \u091a\u094c\u0926\u093e \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938\u093e\u0902\u091a\u093e stall (\u096e-\u0968\u0968 \u091c\u0942\u0928). \u0939\u0902\u0917\u093e\u092e\u0940 \u0924\u0942\u091f \u2014 All India \u096a\u0968%, Central India \u096b\u096f%, \u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0930\u093e\u0937\u094d\u091f\u094d\u0930 \u096c\u096e%, \u092e\u0930\u093e\u0920\u0935\u093e\u0921\u093e \u096c\u096a%, \u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d \u096b\u096c%, \u0915\u094b\u0915\u0923 \u096c\u0967%. El Ni\u00f1o confirmed \u2014 &#8220;present, expected to strengthen further.&#8221; IOD neutral. JAMSTEC: Strong, \u0915\u093e\u0939\u0940 \u092e\u0949\u0921\u0947\u0932 Super. \u0916\u0941\u0933\u0947: &#8220;\u0939\u0902\u0917\u093e\u092e\u0940 \u0924\u0942\u091f \u0967\u096a%.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u092a\u0923 \u091c\u0942\u0928\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0936\u0947\u0935\u091f\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u096a \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938\u093e\u0902\u0924 \u2014 satellite convection \u0924\u0940\u0928 \u0935\u0947\u0933\u093e upgrade (weak \u2192 moderate \u2192 intense \u2192 very intense). \u092e\u0941\u0902\u092c\u0908\u0924 \u0967\u0966\u0969 \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940 \u090f\u0915\u093e \u0930\u093e\u0924\u094d\u0930\u0940\u0924. \u092e\u0941\u0932\u0941\u0902\u0921\u092e\u0927\u094d\u092f\u0947 \u0968\u0967\u0966 \u092e\u093f\u092e\u0940. \u0935\u093f\u0926\u0930\u094d\u092d \u0938\u0930\u094d\u0935\u094b\u091a\u094d\u091a \u0936\u094d\u0930\u0947\u0923\u0940\u0924. \u0968\u0969 \u091c\u093f\u0932\u094d\u0939\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0902\u0924 alert. \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928 \u092c\u0933\u0915\u091f \u0939\u094b\u0924\u094b\u092f.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u091c\u0942\u0928 \u0928\u093f\u0930\u093e\u0936\u093e\u091c\u0928\u0915 \u0917\u0947\u0932\u093e \u2014 \u092a\u0923 \u0936\u0947\u0935\u091f\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0936\u0940 satellite \u0938\u093e\u0902\u0917\u0924\u094b\u092f \u2014 \u0922\u0917 \u091c\u0921 \u091d\u093e\u0932\u0947, \u0909\u0902\u091a \u0917\u0947\u0932\u0947, \u092a\u093e\u0923\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0928\u0947 \u092d\u0930\u0932\u0947. \u092c\u0902\u0917\u093e\u0932\u091a\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0909\u092a\u0938\u093e\u0917\u0930\u093e\u0924 depression \u0924\u092f\u093e\u0930 \u0939\u094b\u0924\u094b\u092f. Somali Jet \u092c\u0933\u0915\u091f. MJO support. Week 2 \u2014 &#8220;normal to above normal over entire country.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0968 \u0924\u0947 \u0967\u0966 \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948 \u2014 \u096e \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938\u093e\u0902\u091a\u0940 \u0916\u093f\u0921\u0915\u0940. \u0916\u0930\u0940\u092a \u0968\u0966\u0968\u096c \u091a\u0940 \u092a\u0939\u093f\u0932\u0940 \u0916\u0930\u0940 \u0938\u0902\u0927\u0940. \u0939\u0940 \u0938\u094b\u0921\u0942 \u0928\u0915\u093e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u096c\u0968 \u0926\u0936\u0932\u0915\u094d\u0937 \u0939\u0947\u0915\u094d\u091f\u0930 \u2014 \u091c\u0942\u0928\u092d\u0930 \u0935\u093e\u091f \u092c\u0918\u093f\u0924\u0932\u0940. \u0906\u0924\u093e \u096e \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938 \u0938\u092e\u094b\u0930. \u0922\u0917\u093e\u0902\u0928\u093e \u0935\u093f\u0928\u0902\u0924\u0940 \u090f\u0915\u091a \u2014 \u0930\u093f\u0915\u093e\u092e\u0947 \u0939\u094b\u090a \u0928\u0915\u093e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0935\u093f\u091c\u092f \u0917\u093e\u092f\u0915\u0935\u093e\u0921 \u0915\u0943\u0937\u0940 \u092a\u0930\u094d\u0935 | krishiparva.in<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0938\u094d\u0930\u094b\u0924: IMD Satellite Bulletin, \u0969\u0966 \u091c\u0942\u0928 \u0968\u0966\u0968\u096c, \u0966\u0969:\u0966\u0966 UTC; INSAT-3DS Thermal IR, Water Vapour Wind, Full Disk; IMD Orange\/Yellow Alerts \u0969\u0966 \u091c\u0942\u0928; India.com (Victor Dasgupta) \u0969\u0966 \u091c\u0942\u0928; IMD Press Release, \u0968\u096e \u091c\u0942\u0928 \u2014 \u096d Day Forecast; IMD Press Release, \u0968\u096b \u091c\u0942\u0928 \u2014 Extended Range Forecast (\u0968\u096b \u091c\u0942\u0928 \u0924\u0947 \u096e \u091c\u0941\u0932\u0948); \u092e\u093e\u0923\u093f\u0915\u0930\u093e\u0935 \u0916\u0941\u0933\u0947, Meteorologist (Retd) IMD Pune \u2014 \u0938\u0915\u093e\u0933 \u0905\u0945\u0917\u094d\u0930\u094b\u0935\u0928 \u092e\u0941\u0932\u093e\u0916\u0924 (\u0905\u0928\u093f\u0932 \u091c\u093e\u0927\u0935), \u0968\u096f \u091c\u0942\u0928; \u0935\u093f\u091c\u092f \u091c\u093e\u092f\u092d\u093e\u092f\u0947, \u0938\u094d\u0935\u0924\u0902\u0924\u094d\u0930 \u0939\u0935\u093e\u092e\u093e\u0928\u0936\u093e\u0938\u094d\u0924\u094d\u0930\u091c\u094d\u091e, \u0938\u093f\u0928\u094d\u0928\u0930-\u0928\u093e\u0936\u093f\u0915, \u0968\u0968, \u0968\u096c, \u0968\u096d \u0906\u0923\u093f \u0968\u096f \u091c\u0942\u0928; Hindu Business Line (Vinson Kurian), \u0968\u096b \u091c\u0942\u0928; JAMSTEC SINTEX-F, \u0967 \u091c\u0942\u0928 (\u0921\u0949. \u0924\u093e\u0915\u0947\u0936\u0940 \u0926\u094b\u0908); IMD LRF; NOAA CPC; IRI\/Columbia; \u0915\u0943\u0937\u0940 \u092a\u0930\u094d\u0935 &#8220;\u096c\u0968 \u0926\u0936\u0932\u0915\u094d\u0937 \u0939\u0947\u0915\u094d\u091f\u0930&#8221; \u092e\u093e\u0932\u093f\u0915\u093e; \u0915\u0943\u0937\u0940 \u092a\u0930\u094d\u0935 \u092e\u093e\u0928\u094d\u0938\u0942\u0928 \u0926\u0948\u0928\u0902\u0926\u093f\u0928 \u0905\u0939\u0935\u093e\u0932 \u092e\u093e\u0932\u093f\u0915\u093e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"914\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_wv-1-914x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1571\" srcset=\"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_wv-1-914x1024.jpg 914w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_wv-1-268x300.jpg 268w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_wv-1-768x860.jpg 768w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_wv-1-1372x1536.jpg 1372w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_wv-1-1829x2048.jpg 1829w, https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/3Dasiasec_wv-1.jpg 2002w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 914px) 100vw, 914px\" \/><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0935\u093f\u091c\u092f \u0917\u093e\u092f\u0915\u0935\u093e\u0921 | \u0915\u0943\u0937\u0940 \u092a\u0930\u094d\u0935 \u0906\u091c \u0969\u0966 \u091c\u0942\u0928 \u2014 \u091c\u0942\u0928 \u092e\u0939\u093f\u0928\u094d\u092f\u093e\u091a\u093e \u0936\u0947\u0935\u091f\u091a\u093e \u0926\u093f\u0935\u0938. \u092f\u093e \u092e\u0939\u093f\u0928\u094d\u092f\u093e\u091a\u093e \u0939\u093f\u0936\u094b\u092c \u092d\u092f\u093e\u0935\u0939 \u0906\u0939\u0947 \u2014 \u0926\u0947\u0936\u093e\u091a\u0940 &hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1567,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21,20,12,22,6],"tags":[3583,3589,3585,373,3575,3582,3568,3566,175,3389,3008,3231,3580,2380,3563,3228,3395,3412,3387,3398,3576,3573,1840,3564,3562,3581,2139,661,1498,3558,3590,3570,3587,3557,3569,3552,3584,3586,3254,2172,3588,2400,3571],"class_list":["post-1565","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agri-inputes","category-agri-policy","category-agriculture","category-global-agriculture","category-news","tag-103-mm-rain","tag-3589","tag-3585","tag-agriculture-news","tag-agro-advisory","tag-cloud-analysis","tag-crop-planning","tag-farm-advisory","tag-farmers","tag-heavy-rainfall","tag-imd-2","tag-insat-3ds","tag-june-30","tag-kharif-2026","tag-kharif-sowing","tag-maharashtra-monsoon","tag-maharashtra-weather","tag-monsoon-update","tag-mumbai-rain","tag-rain-alert","tag-rain-update","tag-satellite-analysis","tag-satellite-imagery","tag-satellite-weather","tag-sowing-window","tag-thermal-infrared","tag-vidarbha-2","tag-weather-forecast","tag-1498","tag-3558","tag-3590","tag-3570","tag-3587","tag-3557","tag-3569","tag-3552","tag-3584","tag-3586","tag-3254","tag-2172","tag-3588","tag-2400","tag-3571"],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM.png",1672,941,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-150x150.png",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-300x169.png",300,169,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-768x432.png",640,360,true],"large":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-1024x576.png",640,360,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-1536x864.png",1536,864,true],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM.png",1672,941,false],"rara-magazine-slider":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-180x90.png",180,90,true],"rara-magazine-banner-one":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-1256x610.png",1256,610,true],"rara-magazine-banner-two":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-643x610.png",643,610,true],"rara-magazine-banner-three":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-479x410.png",479,410,true],"rara-magazine-banner-four":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-473x345.png",473,345,true],"rara-magazine-banner-five":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-949x693.png",949,693,true],"metro-magazine-banner-post":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-285x307.png",285,307,true],"metro-magazine-with-sidebar":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-833x474.png",833,474,true],"metro-magazine-without-sidebar":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-1110x474.png",1110,474,true],"metro-magazine-featured-post":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-285x307.png",285,307,true],"metro-magazine-promotional-post":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-322x209.png",322,209,true],"metro-magazine-recent-post":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-78x78.png",78,78,true],"metro-magazine-search-thumbnail":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-230x158.png",230,158,true],"metro-magazine-promotional-block":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-230x230.png",230,230,true],"metro-magazine-featured-big":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-752x365.png",752,365,true],"metro-magazine-featured-mid":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-384x365.png",384,365,true],"metro-magazine-featured-small":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-30-2026-11_43_24-AM-282x245.png",282,245,true],"metro-magazine-three-row":["https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/wp-content\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Gaikwad"]},"category_info":"<a href=\"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/category\/agriculture\/agri-inputes\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Agri Inputes<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/category\/agriculture\/agri-policy\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Agri Policy<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/category\/agriculture\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Agriculture<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/category\/global-agriculture\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Global Agriculture<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/category\/news\/\" rel=\"category tag\">News<\/a>","tag_info":"News","comment_count":"0","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1565","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1565"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1565\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1572,"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1565\/revisions\/1572"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1567"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1565"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1565"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1565"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}