{"id":1309,"date":"2026-05-21T19:05:59","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T13:35:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/?p=1309"},"modified":"2026-05-21T19:06:01","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T13:36:01","slug":"triple-crisis-hits-maharashtras-farmers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/2026\/05\/21\/triple-crisis-hits-maharashtras-farmers\/","title":{"rendered":"Triple\u00a0Crisis\u00a0Hits\u00a0Maharashtra’s\u00a0Farmers"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Fertilizers\u00a0Costlier\u00a0\u00b7\u00a0Exports\u00a0Blocked\u00a0\u00b7\u00a0Rains\u00a0Failing\u00a0\u2014\u00a0Kharif\u00a02026’s\u00a0Toughest\u00a0Test<\/h1>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n

Author : Vijay Gaikwad Publication : krishiparva.in Date : May 21, 2026 Section : Policy Analysis | Kharif Special<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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“On one side, fertilizers are expensive. On the second side, exports are banned. On the third side, rains are failing. Where will the farmer go?”<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n

\u270d\ufe0f Introduction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Maharashtra’s farmers are not fighting a single crisis this Kharif season \u2014 they are fighting on three fronts simultaneously.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Front One : The Iran war has pushed chemical fertilizer prices up by 40%. Front Two : A fall in soybean meal exports, import duty complications, and Trump tariffs are driving farm produce prices below MSP. Front Three : The IMD has warned that Maharashtra is likely to receive below-normal rainfall this monsoon \u2014 with 45\u201365% probability of deficient rains across Central Maharashtra, Marathwada and Vidarbha.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

When three crises converge, only one question remains for the farmer :<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

“Should I sow Kharif at all? And if I do, will I earn anything?”<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

\ud83e\udde8 Front One : Fertilizers Costly, Farmer Helpless<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Iran War Hits India’s Fertilizer Market Directly<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

In April 2026, the US-Israel-Iran conflict destabilized the Strait of Hormuz. India is the world’s second-largest fertilizer importer, sourcing 20\u201325% of its total fertilizer imports from Gulf nations. This single geopolitical event shook India’s entire fertilizer supply chain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcca Fertilizer Prices \u2014 May 2026 Reality<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fertilizer (50 kg bag)<\/th>Pre-War Price<\/th>Current Price<\/th>Change<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
DAP<\/td>\u20b91,300<\/td>\u20b92,100 \u2013 \u20b92,200<\/td>+70%<\/td><\/tr>
Urea (official)<\/td>\u20b9280<\/td>Black market \u20b91,100 \u2013 \u20b91,200<\/td>+340%<\/td><\/tr>
NPK 10:26:26<\/td>\u20b91,470<\/td>\u20b91,850 \u2013 \u20b91,900<\/td>+29%<\/td><\/tr>
NPK 20:20:0<\/td>\u20b91,400<\/td>\u20b91,500<\/td>+7%<\/td><\/tr>
SSP (Single Super Phosphate)<\/td>\u20b9530\u2013\u20b9590<\/td>\u20b9570\u2013\u20b9700<\/td>+15%<\/td><\/tr>
Pesticides<\/td>\u2014<\/td>\u2014<\/td>+15\u201325%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\n

\ud83d\udccc Sources :<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • KrushiKranti\u00a0\u2014\u00a0Fertilizer\u00a0Price\u00a0Hike\u00a0Rabi\u00a02025<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • YouTube\u00a0\u2014\u00a0Fertilizer\u00a0Rate\u00a0List\u00a02025<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Economic\u00a0Times\u00a0\u2014\u00a0Iran\u00a0War\u00a0Kharif\u00a0Impact<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n
    \n\n\n\n

    Why Did Prices Rise? \u2014 Three Root Causes<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

    1.\u00a0Strait\u00a0of\u00a0Hormuz\u00a0Disrupted<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The Gulf accounts for 36% of global urea exports \u2014 Iran and Qatar being the largest exporters. Qatar’s Ras Laffan Industrial City and Iran’s Kharg Island oil hub have been damaged in attacks. Vessels are avoiding the strait or facing massive insurance costs and delays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n

    \ud83d\udccc IFPRI Blog \u2014 Iran War’s Impacts on Global Fertilizer Markets<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

    2.\u00a0China\u00a0Banned\u00a0Fertilizer\u00a0Exports<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    China suspended fertilizer exports to all countries to protect domestic supply. This shut India’s only alternative source. Packaging material costs (HDPE, PET) surged 70\u201380% due to crude oil price volatility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n

    \ud83d\udccc India Today \u2014 Iran War Disrupts Fertilizer Supply India<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

    3.\u00a0India\u00a0Booked\u00a0DAP\u00a0at\u00a040%\u00a0Above\u00a0Pre-War\u00a0Prices<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Indian Potash Ltd. contracted 1.35 million tonnes of DAP at $930 per tonne \u2014 roughly 39% above pre-war rates. India also procured urea at nearly double the pre-war levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n

    \ud83d\udccc The Print \/ Bloomberg \u2014 India Books DAP at 40% Above Pre-War Price \ud83d\udccc Indian Chemical News \u2014 Dr. MP Sukumaran Nair Analysis<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

    What Does This Mean for the Farmer?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

    Before the Iran war, per-acre Kharif input cost was \u20b93,500 \u2013 \u20b94,000. Today it has jumped to \u20b95,500 \u2013 \u20b96,000 per acre. Costs have risen sharply \u2014 but farm gate prices have not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n\n\n\n
    \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    \ud83d\udeab Front Two : Exports Blocked, MSP a Mockery<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Soybean’s Double Crisis<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

    Maharashtra contributes 30% of India’s total soybean production, making it the second-largest producing state. Yet after Kharif 2025\u201326 harvest, market prices were \u20b9500 \u2013 \u20b91,000 below MSP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    MSP : \u20b94,892 per quintal \u2014 Market Price : \u20b92,500 \u2013 \u20b93,500 per quintal<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Key\u00a0Reasons\u00a0:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    • Import\u00a0Duty\u00a0Hike\u00a0Failed\u00a0:\u00a0September\u00a02024’s\u00a0~20%\u00a0import\u00a0duty\u00a0hike\u00a0on\u00a0edible\u00a0oils\u00a0was\u00a0nullified\u00a0by\u00a0Nepal\u00a0routing\u00a0edible\u00a0oil\u00a0imports\u00a0through\u00a0SAFTA\u00a0at\u00a0zero\u00a0duty\u00a0\u2014\u00a0approximately\u00a01\u00a0million\u00a0tonnes\u00a0expected<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Soybean\u00a0Meal\u00a0Export\u00a0Crash\u00a0:\u00a0February\u00a02025\u00a0oilmeal\u00a0exports\u00a0fell\u00a036%\u00a0year-on-year;\u00a0soybean\u00a0meal\u00a0exports\u00a0in\u00a0the\u00a0first\u00a0five\u00a0months\u00a0fell\u00a023%<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Corn\u00a0Competition\u00a0:\u00a0USDA\u00a0projects\u00a0India’s\u00a0soybean\u00a0area\u00a0to\u00a0decline\u00a03%\u00a0in\u00a0MY\u00a02026\/27\u00a0as\u00a0farmers\u00a0in\u00a0Maharashtra\u00a0and\u00a0MP\u00a0shift\u00a0to\u00a0corn\u00a0driven\u00a0by\u00a0ethanol\u00a0procurement<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Negative\u00a0Crushing\u00a0Margins\u00a0:\u00a0Weak\u00a0global\u00a0soybean\u00a0meal\u00a0prices\u00a0have\u00a0pushed\u00a0crushing\u00a0economics\u00a0into\u00a0the\u00a0red,\u00a0reducing\u00a0processor\u00a0demand\u00a0for\u00a0domestic\u00a0soybeans<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \n

      \ud83d\udccc Economic Times \u2014 Import Duty Hike Fails Soybean Farmers \ud83d\udccc Economic Times \u2014 Maharashtra Soybean Export Demand \ud83d\udccc USDA\/FAS \u2014 Oilseeds and Products Annual India 2026 \ud83d\udccc PIB \u2014 Kharif 2025\u201326 Soybean Procurement Maharashtra<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

      \n\n\n\n

      Trump Tariffs : $5 Billion Indian Agri-Exports Under Pressure<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

      In July\u2013August 2025, the US imposed 25\u201350% tariffs on Indian goods. Shrimp, Basmati rice, spices were hardest hit. A February 2026 India-US trade deal brought tariffs down to 18%, but India retained some agricultural protections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n

      India’s $5 billion annual agri-exports to the US remain under sustained long-term pressure.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

      \n

      \ud83d\udccc ET Now \u2014 Trump 25% Tariff India Farmers \ud83d\udccc Counterview \u2014 Trump Tariff Impact on Indian Farmers \ud83d\udccc US Trade Chief \u2014 India Agriculture Protections in Trump Deal \ud83d\udccc White House \u2014 Trump Agricultural Tariff Modification<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

      Onion : The Recurring Policy Mistake<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

      Maharashtra’s onion farmers repeatedly suffer from sudden export bans, Minimum Export Price (MEP) changes, and abrupt policy reversals. This chronic policy unpredictability makes future planning impossible for farmers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n\n\n\n
      \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

      \ud83c\udf27\ufe0f Front Three : Rains Failing, Only Three Weeks Left<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

      IMD Long Range Forecast \u2014 April 14, 2026<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

      On April 14, 2026, IMD issued its official monsoon forecast for Maharashtra. The findings are alarming :<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n
      • National\u00a0forecast\u00a0:\u00a0Only\u00a092%\u00a0of\u00a0LPA\u00a0\u2014\u00a0categorized\u00a0as\u00a0‘below\u00a0normal’<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • Maharashtra\u00a0forecast\u00a0:\u00a090\u201395%\u00a0of\u00a0LPA<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • Central\u00a0Maharashtra,\u00a0Marathwada,\u00a0Vidarbha\u00a0:\u00a0Yellow-shaded\u00a0\u2014\u00a045\u201365%\u00a0probability\u00a0of\u00a0below-normal\u00a0rainfall<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • Parts\u00a0of\u00a0Marathwada\u00a0:\u00a0Probability\u00a0edging\u00a0towards\u00a065%\u00a0and\u00a0beyond<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
        \n

        “If we look at Maharashtra as a whole, the monsoon rainfall is likely to be below normal.”<\/em> \u2014 IMD Scientist SD Sanap, Times of India, April 14, 2026<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

        \n

        \ud83d\udccc Times of India \u2014 Below-Normal Monsoon Likely Over Maharashtra; El Ni\u00f1o Signal Builds \ud83d\udccc Navbharat Live \u2014 Maharashtra Monsoon Forecast 2026 IMD \ud83d\udccc Skymet Weather \u2014 Maharashtra Rainfall Analysis March 2026 \ud83d\udccc YouTube \u2014 Monsoon Update 2026 Maharashtra Drought Risk<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

        \n\n\n\n

        El Ni\u00f1o \u2014 What History Tells Us<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

        El Ni\u00f1o years have historically delivered below-normal monsoon rainfall over India :<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Year<\/th>% of LPA<\/th>Situation<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
        1972<\/td>77.7%<\/td>Severe Drought<\/td><\/tr>
        2002<\/td>79.1%<\/td>Severe Drought<\/td><\/tr>
        2009<\/td>81.7%<\/td>Below Normal<\/td><\/tr>
        1987<\/td>85.7%<\/td>Below Normal<\/td><\/tr>
        2015<\/td>87.3%<\/td>Below Normal<\/td><\/tr>
        1982<\/td>88.6%<\/td>Below Normal<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

        IMD has flagged El Ni\u00f1o developing from late July 2026 onwards. Favourable Indian Ocean conditions may partially offset the impact \u2014 but the risk cannot be dismissed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n

        Two models \u2014 Japan’s JAMSTEC and India’s IMD \u2014 both say the same thing : below-normal rains. This is not a possibility. Treat it as a given.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

        \n

        \ud83d\udccc IMD Official Press Release \u2014 Monsoon 2025 Verification \ud83d\udccc PIB \u2014 IMD Above Normal Forecast 2025 Background<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

        \n\n\n\n

        The Three-Week Window \u2014 It Will Not Stay Open Forever<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

        The monsoon reaches Kerala in the first week of June; Maharashtra gets it in the second\u2013third week. We are now in late May \u2014 which means farmers have just three weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n

        The rain is in God’s hands \u2014 but the preparation is in ours. Three weeks remain. When this window closes, the opportunity is gone.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

        \n\n\n\n

        \ud83d\udcd6 The Government’s ‘290-Page Kharif Preparedness Book’ : Preparedness or Performance?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

        The Maharashtra Agriculture Department published a detailed Kharif 2026 preparedness document \u2014 covering seed distribution, tillage, water planning, and crop insurance in exhaustive detail.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        But this book contains not a single page on :<\/p>\n\n\n\n

          \n
        • \ud83d\udd34\u00a0Impact\u00a0of\u00a0the\u00a0Iran\u00a0war\u00a0on\u00a0fertilizer\u00a0supply\u00a0chains<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • \ud83d\udd34\u00a0Pressure\u00a0on\u00a0Indian\u00a0agri-exports\u00a0due\u00a0to\u00a0Trump\u00a0tariffs<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • \ud83d\udd34\u00a0Any\u00a0plan\u00a0to\u00a0increase\u00a0DAP\u00a0subsidy\u00a0as\u00a0prices\u00a0surged\u00a040%<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • \ud83d\udd34\u00a0A\u00a0special\u00a0action\u00a0plan\u00a0for\u00a0El\u00a0Ni\u00f1o\u00a0and\u00a0below-normal\u00a0rainfall<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • \ud83d\udd34\u00a0Ensuring\u00a0availability\u00a0of\u00a0organic\u00a0fertilizer\u00a0alternatives\u00a0at\u00a0taluka\u00a0level<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
          \n

          This is a ‘preparedness’ document \u2014 not a ‘crisis analysis’ document.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

          The government has prepared for the season it expected, not the season that has arrived. For Maharashtra’s farmers \u2014 this is dangerous.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

          \n\n\n\n

          \ud83c\udf3f Organic Fertilizer : Government Advises, But Where Is the Supply?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

          The government says : “Use fewer chemicals \u2014 shift to organic fertilizers.”<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

          Sound advice on paper. Ground reality is different.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

          Vermicompost (Earthworm Compost) \u2014 Is It Available at the Taluka Level?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

            \n
          • Production\u00a0is\u00a0concentrated\u00a0in\u00a0Solapur,\u00a0Sangli,\u00a0Nashik,\u00a0and\u00a0Pune\u00a0districts<\/li>\n\n\n\n
          • Available\u00a0price\u00a0:\u00a0\u20b910,000\u00a0\u2013\u00a0\u20b911,000\u00a0per\u00a0tonne\u00a0(delivered\u00a0within\u00a0150\u00a0km)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
          • Requirement\u00a0per\u00a0acre\u00a0:\u00a0Minimum\u00a01\u00a0\u2013\u00a01.5\u00a0tonnes<\/li>\n\n\n\n
          • Cost\u00a0comparison\u00a0:\u00a0Chemical\u00a0fertilizer\u00a0per\u00a0acre\u00a0\u20b92,000\u2013\u20b92,500\u00a0vs.\u00a0Vermicompost\u00a0per\u00a0acre\u00a0\u20b910,000\u2013\u20b915,000<\/li>\n\n\n\n
          • In\u00a0Vidarbha,\u00a0Marathwada,\u00a0and\u00a0North\u00a0Maharashtra\u00a0:\u00a0Vermicompost\u00a0not\u00a0easily\u00a0available;\u00a0no\u00a0government\u00a0subsidy;\u00a0massive\u00a0gap\u00a0between\u00a0demand\u00a0and\u00a0supply<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
            \n

            The government says use less chemical fertilizer \u2014 but where is the alternative? Is vermicompost available at the taluka level?<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

            \n

            \ud83d\udccc Agrowon \u2014 Vermicompost Production Yashogatha \ud83d\udccc Shubham Vermicompost Solapur<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

            \n\n\n\n

            \ud83d\udcca The Economics of the Triple Crisis \u2014 Per Acre Numbers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
            Input Cost Head<\/th>Kharif 2025<\/th>Kharif 2026 (Est.)<\/th>Change<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
            Seeds<\/td>\u20b91,200<\/td>\u20b91,400<\/td>+\u20b9200<\/td><\/tr>
            DAP + NPK<\/td>\u20b91,500<\/td>\u20b92,400<\/td>+\u20b9900<\/td><\/tr>
            Urea<\/td>\u20b9270<\/td>\u20b9280\u2013\u20b9300<\/td>+\u20b930<\/td><\/tr>
            Pesticides<\/td>\u20b9800<\/td>\u20b91,000\u2013\u20b91,200<\/td>+\u20b9400<\/td><\/tr>
            Labour + Tillage<\/td>\u20b93,000<\/td>\u20b93,200<\/td>+\u20b9200<\/td><\/tr>
            Total Input Cost<\/td>\u20b96,770<\/td>\u20b98,200 \u2013 \u20b98,500<\/td>+\u20b91,730<\/td><\/tr>
            MSP (\u20b94,892\/qtl \u00d7 6\u20137 qtl\/acre)<\/td>\u20b929,352<\/td>\u20b929,352<\/td>=<\/td><\/tr>
            Market Price (Below MSP)<\/td>\u20b924,000\u2013\u20b927,000<\/td>\u20b924,000\u2013\u20b927,000<\/td>Still low<\/td><\/tr>
            Net Profit<\/td>Low<\/td>Even Lower \ud83d\udcc9<\/td>\u2014<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
            \n

            Conclusion : Input costs are rising. Market prices remain stagnant. Farm gate prices are below MSP. What is left in the farmer’s hands at the end of the season?<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

            \n\n\n\n

            \u2705 Practical Steps for Farmers \u2014 Act Now, In Three Weeks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

            The three-week window is open. When it closes, the opportunity is gone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

              \n
            1. Reconsider\u00a0your\u00a0crop\u00a0choice\u00a0:\u00a0With\u00a0El\u00a0Ni\u00f1o\u00a0and\u00a0below-normal\u00a0rain\u00a0as\u00a0a\u00a0given,\u00a0shift\u00a0to\u00a0low-water\u00a0crops\u00a0\u2014\u00a0tur,\u00a0moong,\u00a0kulthi,\u00a0bajra<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            2. Use\u00a0SSP\u00a0instead\u00a0of\u00a0DAP\u00a0:\u00a0Single\u00a0Super\u00a0Phosphate\u00a0costs\u00a0only\u00a0\u20b9570\u2013\u20b9700\u00a0per\u00a050\u00a0kg\u00a0vs.\u00a0DAP\u00a0at\u00a0\u20b92,100+;\u00a0it\u00a0also\u00a0supplies\u00a0sulphur\u00a0to\u00a0soil<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            3. Use\u00a0your\u00a0soil\u00a0health\u00a0card\u00a0:\u00a0Apply\u00a0fertilizer\u00a0strictly\u00a0as\u00a0per\u00a0test\u00a0results\u00a0\u2014\u00a0excess\u00a0fertilizer\u00a0is\u00a0wasted\u00a0money<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            4. Buy\u00a0crop\u00a0insurance\u00a0now\u00a0:\u00a0Sowing\u00a0without\u00a0crop\u00a0insurance\u00a0when\u00a0El\u00a0Ni\u00f1o\u00a0risk\u00a0is\u00a0elevated\u00a0is\u00a0gambling<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            5. Prepare\u00a0water\u00a0conservation\u00a0structures\u00a0:\u00a0Sari-varamba\u00a0(ridge\u00a0and\u00a0furrow),\u00a0contour\u00a0tillage\u00a0\u2014\u00a0prepare\u00a0today,\u00a0not\u00a0after\u00a0sowing<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            6. Book\u00a0vermicompost\u00a0now\u00a0:\u00a0If\u00a0a\u00a0producer\u00a0is\u00a0nearby,\u00a0order\u00a0immediately\u00a0\u2014\u00a0it\u00a0will\u00a0not\u00a0be\u00a0available\u00a0during\u00a0the\u00a0season<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            7. Buy\u00a0fertilizer\u00a0collectively\u00a0:\u00a0Farmer\u00a0group\u00a0bulk\u00a0purchases\u00a0can\u00a0get\u00a0wholesale\u00a0discounts<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n
              \n\n\n\n

              \ud83c\udfdb\ufe0f Five Urgent Policy Demands<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
                \n
              1. Increase\u00a0DAP\u00a0subsidy\u00a0immediately\u00a0:\u00a0The\u00a0war-driven\u00a0fertilizer\u00a0price\u00a0surge\u00a0must\u00a0be\u00a0absorbed\u00a0by\u00a0the\u00a0central\u00a0government,\u00a0not\u00a0farmers.\u00a0The\u00a0Fertilizer\u00a0Association\u00a0of\u00a0India\u00a0(FAI)\u00a0has\u00a0already\u00a0demanded\u00a0this<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              2. Open\u00a0MSP\u00a0procurement\u00a0centres\u00a0before\u00a0the\u00a0season\u00a0:\u00a0The\u00a0Centre\u00a0has\u00a0approved\u00a0\u20b99,860\u00a0crore\u00a0for\u00a0Maharashtra\u00a0soybean\u00a0procurement\u00a0\u2014\u00a0ensure\u00a0it\u00a0reaches\u00a0every\u00a0taluka\u00a0on\u00a0time<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              3. Announce\u00a0an\u00a0El\u00a0Ni\u00f1o\u00a0action\u00a0plan\u00a0:\u00a0Clarify\u00a0NDRF\/SDRF\u00a0relief\u00a0criteria\u00a0in\u00a0advance\u00a0if\u00a0below-normal\u00a0rainfall\u00a0materializes<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              4. Establish\u00a0taluka-level\u00a0vermicompost\u00a0centres\u00a0:\u00a0Every\u00a0taluka\u00a0must\u00a0have\u00a0at\u00a0least\u00a0one\u00a0government-subsidized\u00a0vermicompost\u00a0production\u00a0centre<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              5. Set\u00a0up\u00a0a\u00a0permanent\u00a0Geopolitical-Agriculture\u00a0Crisis\u00a0Analysis\u00a0Cell\u00a0:\u00a0The\u00a0Agriculture\u00a0Department\u00a0needs\u00a0a\u00a0dedicated\u00a0cell\u00a0to\u00a0assess\u00a0the\u00a0Kharif\u00a0impact\u00a0of\u00a0events\u00a0like\u00a0the\u00a0Iran\u00a0war\u00a0\u2014\u00a0before\u00a0the\u00a0sowing\u00a0season\u00a0begins<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n
                \n

                \ud83d\udccc PIB \u2014 Kharif Procurement Approvals 2025\u201326 \ud83d\udccc Dhanashree \u2014 Natural Farming as Hedge Against Fertiliser Risk Kharif 2026<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

                \n\n\n\n

                \ud83c\udfaf Conclusion : Both God and Government Must Be on the Farmer’s Side<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

                The rain is in God’s hands \u2014 that is true. But preparation is in our hands \u2014 that is equally true.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

                IMD\u00a0and\u00a0global\u00a0climate\u00a0models\u00a0speak\u00a0in\u00a0one\u00a0voice\u00a0:\u00a0Maharashtra\u00a0faces\u00a0a\u00a045\u201365%\u00a0probability\u00a0of\u00a0below-normal\u00a0monsoon\u00a0rainfall\u00a0in\u00a02026\u00a0\u2014\u00a0with\u00a0Marathwada\u00a0facing\u00a0even\u00a0higher\u00a0odds.\u00a0This\u00a0is\u00a0not\u00a0a\u00a0possibility.\u00a0Plan\u00a0with\u00a0it\u00a0as\u00a0a\u00a0baseline\u00a0asumption.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

                The Iran war, Trump tariffs, and export uncertainties seem distant \u2014 but their impact is visible right now in the price of a fertilizer bag in Ahmednagar, Latur, and Akola. When global and local crises converge, the damage is compounded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

                The government’s 290-page preparedness document is a useful operational checklist. But what Maharashtra’s Kharif 2026 demands is crisis analysis, policy flexibility, and an action framework grounded in current reality \u2014 and that framework is yet to be built.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

                \n

                Where will the farmer go? \u2014 This question is easy to ask. To answer it, the government must wake up. And the farmer must make smart decisions in these three remaining weeks.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

                \n\n\n\n

                \ud83d\udcda All References \u2014 With URLs<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
                #<\/th>Source<\/th>URL<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
                1<\/td>IFPRI \u2014 Iran War Fertilizer Markets<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                2<\/td>The Print \u2014 DAP 40% Above Pre-War<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                3<\/td>Economic Times \u2014 Iran War Kharif<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                4<\/td>India Today \u2014 Iran War Fertilizer<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                5<\/td>Indian Chemical News \u2014 Dr. MP Sukumaran Nair<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                6<\/td>TOI Pune \u2014 Below Normal Monsoon Maharashtra<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                7<\/td>Navbharat Live \u2014 IMD Maharashtra 2026<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                8<\/td>Skymet \u2014 Maharashtra Rainfall 2026<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                9<\/td>IMD Press Release 2025<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                10<\/td>PIB \u2014 IMD Monsoon Forecast<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                11<\/td>ET \u2014 Soybean Import Duty Failure<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                12<\/td>ET \u2014 Maharashtra Soybean Export Demand<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                13<\/td>USDA\/FAS \u2014 Oilseeds Annual India 2026<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                14<\/td>PIB \u2014 Soybean Procurement Maharashtra<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                15<\/td>ET Now \u2014 Trump 25% Tariff India Farmers<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                16<\/td>Counterview \u2014 Trump Tariff Indian Farmers<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                17<\/td>Economic Times \u2014 US Trade India Agriculture Deal<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                18<\/td>White House \u2014 Trump Agricultural Tariff Modification<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                19<\/td>Agrowon \u2014 Vermicompost Production<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                20<\/td>Shubham Vermicompost Solapur<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                21<\/td>KrushiKranti \u2014 Fertilizer Price Rabi 2025<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr>
                22<\/td>YouTube \u2014 Monsoon 2026 Maharashtra Drought Risk<\/td>Link<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
                \n\n\n\n
                \n

                \u00a9 krishiparva.in Vijay Gaikwad | Senior Journalist & Policy Analyst Contact : krishiparva.in<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

                \n\n\n\n

                <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                Fertilizers\u00a0Costlier\u00a0\u00b7\u00a0Exports\u00a0Blocked\u00a0\u00b7\u00a0Rains\u00a0Failing\u00a0\u2014\u00a0Kharif\u00a02026’s\u00a0Toughest\u00a0Test Author : Vijay Gaikwad Publication : krishiparva.in Date : May 21, 2026 Section : Policy Analysis | Kharif Special “On one side, fertilizers are expensive. On the second side, exports are banned. On the third side, rains are failing. Where will the farmer go?” \u270d\ufe0f Introduction Maharashtra’s farmers are not fighting a single crisis this Kharif season \u2014 they are fighting on three fronts simultaneously. Front One : The Iran war has pushed chemical fertilizer prices up by 40%. Front Two : A fall in soybean meal exports, import duty complications, and Trump tariffs are driving farm produce prices below MSP. Front Three : The IMD has warned that Maharashtra is likely to receive below-normal rainfall this monsoon \u2014 with 45\u201365% probability of deficient rains across Central Maharashtra, Marathwada and Vidarbha. When three crises converge, only one question remains for the farmer : “Should I sow Kharif at all? And if I do, will I earn anything?” \ud83e\udde8 Front One : Fertilizers Costly, Farmer Helpless Iran War Hits India’s Fertilizer Market Directly In April 2026, the US-Israel-Iran conflict destabilized the Strait of Hormuz. India is the world’s second-largest fertilizer importer, sourcing 20\u201325% of its total fertilizer imports from Gulf nations. This single geopolitical event shook India’s entire fertilizer supply chain. \ud83d\udcca Fertilizer Prices \u2014 May 2026 Reality Fertilizer (50 kg bag) Pre-War Price Current Price Change DAP \u20b91,300 \u20b92,100 \u2013 \u20b92,200 +70% … <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1300,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16,40,21,12,22,15,6],"tags":[2545,2539,2536,2543,2544,2540,2380,2541,2542],"class_list":["post-1309","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agri-business","category-agri-distress","category-agri-imputes","category-agriculture","category-global-agriculture","category-hydroponics","category-news","tag-agricultural-policy-india","tag-dap-price-hike","tag-el-nino-2","tag-farmer-crisis-maharashtra","tag-imd-forecast-maharashtra","tag-iran-war-fertilizer","tag-kharif-2026","tag-maharashtra-monsoon-2026","tag-soybean-msp"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1309","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1309"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1309\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1310,"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1309\/revisions\/1310"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1300"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1309"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1309"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/krishiparva.in\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1309"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}